Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

Venture capital investments in electric vehicle start-ups dropped in 2023, following the global trend

Venture capital (VC) funding to EV start-ups has boomed in the past decade. Financial investors such as banks and VC or private equity funds see in EV start-ups a potential for significant future returns. Many companies – including major incumbent carmakers – also use corporate VC to fund start-ups to develop new technology, or to acquire concepts developed by new entrants. Whereas in the past century, most carmakers typically developed ICE technology and manufacturing through in-house R&D, investing in start-ups has now become a notable trend. This allows incumbents to bolster their own position and maintain a competitive edge in quickly evolving markets and regulatory environments.

In 2023, however, global VC investments in clean energy start-ups fell considerably relative to 2022, and EVs and batteries were no exception. Early-stage investments (i.e. seed and series A, referring to the first rounds of financing and the earlier stages of development) in start-ups developing EV and battery technologies dropped 20% to USD1.4billion in 2023. Meanwhile, growth-stage investments (i.e. series B and growth equity, which refer to the later rounds of financing as start-ups increase activity) dropped 35% to USD10.1billion.

Several important factors are contributing to this downward trend. As competition intensifies in EV and battery markets, and as incumbents ramp up their own investments and manufacturing plans, barriers to entry for new actors get higher, and so do investor perceptions of risk. The front-running start-ups that raised funds over the 2015-2020 period are now maturing and transitioning to other sources of capital, leaving fewer alternatives for newcomers – early-stage VC for electric carmakers dropped radically in 2023. Geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and rising inflation and interest rates limit the availability of higher-risk capital. We also observe a cooldown following the post-Covid-19 boom of 2021-2022, which was fuelled by investment restraint during the pandemic and the expectation of significant economic recovery packages afterwards.

Despite the drop, investments remain far greater than in 2019, prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. Start-ups developing EV charging technology attracted over USD400million in early-stage VC, and battery and battery component makers USD260million, together accounting for half of early-stage VC. There was also a surge for two- and three-wheeler start-ups, which raised USD200million in early-stage VC in 2023, up from below USD100million in previous years. While early-stage funding for electric carmakers has dried up, and in 2023 fell far short of the 2018-2022 rounds, investors continue to show interest in upstream and downstream segments of EV supply chains, as well as other EV types, especially if these can scale quickly.

Notable deals in 2023 included Germany-based Jolt Energy’s first round of VC funding, which raised USD160million. The company seeks to bring its fast-charging technology to urban areas of Europe and the UnitedStates, and claims to provide 100km of driving range in just 5 minutes. Similarly, German EV charging start-up Numbat raised USD75million in series A funding through the European Infrastructure Fund, as well as another USD75million in loans. Indian start-up Charge Zone also raised nearly USD55million to develop nearly 300 charging stations.

Chinese electric truck maker DeepWay raised USD110million in series A funding to start mass production, after having raised USD70million in 2022 to fund R&D and early-stage manufacturing. In the 2/3W space, Benin-based start-up Spiro raised USD60million, Indonesian Maka Motors raised over USD37million and Volta Indonesia USD35million, Brazilian Vammo raised USD30million, and Indian Simple Energy India raised USD20million, illustrating the importance of this segment in EMDEs. In India, Evera, a provider of all-electric cab services and management, raised USD7million to expand operations in Delhi, and Zyngo, an operator of electric last-mile delivery fleets, raised USD5million.

At the growth stage, battery technology developers attracted USD5billion, and electric carmakers USD2.5billion, with significant support from public investors, indicating interest from governments to help new entrants ramp up manufacturing capacity or accelerate expansion and deployment. However, growth-stage investor appetite for electric trucks and EV charging dried up relative to previous years.

Notable deals include French battery maker Verkor, which raised USD900million in growth equity from investors including public-private EIT InnoEnergy and BPI France, and major incumbent carmaker Renault. The company also received a nearly USD700million grant from the French Government and another USD650million in debt from the European Investment Bank to develop a 16GWh gigafactory project in Dunkirk. To support its global expansion, Swedish battery maker Northvolt raised USD400million from Ontario’s asset manager, USD1.2billion and then another USD150million in debt from public Canadian investors and private banks, a USD740million grant from the German Government, and a USD5billion loan from the European Investment Bank and Nordic Investment Bank. Chinese lithium-ion battery maker Hithium also raised over USD600million.

Chinese electric carmakers continued raising money in 2023, such as Hozon and Rox Motor, which each raised around USD1billion. Like other Chinese new entrants, Hozon Automobile is looking to expand in overseas markets as well as domestically, and could go public in Hong Kong. Rox Motor launched its first model in 2023, an electric SUV priced under USD50000. Premium electric carmaker Avatr raised USD400million, after having raised a similar amount in series A funding in 2022.

In the electric taxi fleet space, India-based BluSmart, a start-up providing ride-hailing services, raised two rounds of USD42million and USD24million in growth equity in 2023, and another USD25million in 2024. However, there has been fierce competition with larger taxi fleet apps and operators in the past few years in EMDEs. In 2023, for example, electric ride-sharing app Beat, owned by Free Now, withdrew from Latin America.

Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

FAQs

Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA? ›

In 2024, electric car sales in the United States are projected to rise by 20% compared to the previous year, translating to almost half a million more sales, relative to 2023. Despite reporting of a rocky end to 2023 for electric cars in the United States, sales shares are projected to remain robust in 2024.

What is the EV market trend in 2024? ›

Data from The International Energy Agency's Global EV Outlook 2024 makes vibes-based reporting on the demise of EV sales look silly - global EV sales could hit 17 million in 2024, meaning more than one in five cars sold worldwide will be electric.

Why are electric cars becoming more popular? ›

More efficient manufacturing, falling battery costs and intense competition are lowering sticker prices for battery-powered models to within striking distance of gasoline cars.

How many EV chargers are in the US in 2024? ›

As of Feb. 27, 2024, there are more than 61,000 publicly accessible electric vehicle charging stations with Level 2 or DC Fast chargers in the U.S. 1 That is a more than twofold increase from roughly 29,000 stations in 2020. For reference, there are an estimated 145,000 gasoline fueling stations in the country.

What is the EV share in China in 2024? ›

In the first three months of 2024, EV registrations grew 36% in China, with a tally of 1.9 million deliveries. This equates to a 39% share of the market, with BEVs holding 26%. With this performance, the plug-in market can be expected to end the first half of 2024 with a market share above 40%.

How many EVs are on the road in the US in 2024? ›

The latest stats on EV sales and registrations in 2024

There are about 3.3 million electric cars on the road in the U.S., according to an Experian Automotive Market Trends report from the fourth quarter of 2023.

What are the EV sales in global Q1 2024? ›

Global passenger EV (BEV+PHEV)* sales grew 18% YoY in Q1 2024, according to Counterpoint's EV Market Tracker. While BEV sales increased by a modest 7% YoY during the quarter, PHEV sales grew 46% YoY. China remained the global leader in Q1, followed by the US and Europe.

What percentage of US vehicles will be EV by 2025? ›

2024 EV share to hit 12%, 18% in 2025 despite charging concerns | Automotive News.

Who has the most EV chargers in USA? ›

Which Company Has the Most Charging Stations and Ports? ChargePoint is the largest EV charging network in the States by a notable margin. In fact, the company has over 27,000 stations with nearly 50,000 individual charging ports.

Which country has the most EV charging stations? ›

As in previous years, China is the global leader in number of publicly available chargers. It counts about 85% of the world's fast chargers and 55% of slow chargers.

What are the market trends for EV? ›

Electric cars accounted for around 18% of all cars sold in 2023, up from 14% in 2022 and only 2% 5 years earlier, in 2018. These trends indicate that growth remains robust as electric car markets mature. Battery electric cars accounted for 70% of the electric car stock in 2023.

What is the outlook for the EV industry in China? ›

The IEA's Global Electric Vehicle (EV) Outlook 2024 report, released on Tuesday, shows that China accounted for 60% of all EV sales in 2023, and its rapid uptake will continue, with one in three cars on China's roads in 2030 expected to be electric.

Is China the leader in EV? ›

China is the world's biggest producer of electric vehicles (EVs) – and it's growing. In 2022, the country accounted for 59% of global EV sales, according to data from the EV Volumes database, with sales of new EVs increasing by 82% from the previous year to reach more than 6 million.

What is the projected market for EV? ›

The plug-in hybrid EV segment is expected to hit revenue of USD 385,617 million from 2022 to 2030. The passenger car electric vehicle market was valued at USD 127,394 million in 2021 and is projected to hit USD 598,735 million by 2030. The commercial vehicle EV market was valued at USD 47,351.9 million in 2021.

Will EV prices go down in future? ›

Since new EV prices are falling used prices will also keep falling. They say from 2024-2026 we will see the largest decrease in battery costs in history because of increased production capacity so don't worry about new or used EV prices going up.

What is the battery technology news in 2024? ›

May 23, 2024 — Scientists develop a porous structures for lithium metal ... May 23, 2024 — Chemistry researchers are hoping to spark a green battery revolution by showing that iron instead of cobalt and nickel can be used as a cathode material in lithium-ion ...

What will the US EV market share be in 2030? ›

Electric vehicles are projected to account for 45 percent of the market in 2035, up from a forecast of 32 percent in 2030.

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